Post by aDave on Mar 14, 2020 20:02:26 GMT -5
I have mixed feelings about schools closing, especially elementary. Personally, I think as long as the kids don't have high-risk individuals at home and the teachers aren't high-risk either, it's a PERFECT place for kids to be. Corona will go around, the kids will recover easily, they'll build up immunity, then we have a good head start on some herd immunity. Also, if a nurse or other healthcare worker has to be home now with kids, that's one less "human resource" available to help with critical cases.
Unfortunately, there are at least two fallacies in your hypothetical.
First, just because someone gets the virus doesn't automatically mean they are immune form getting it again. I'v heard numerous sources indicate that the virus can be repeated in those who have had it before. www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-03-13/china-japan-korea-coronavirus-reinfection-test-positive . So much for herd immunity. I will admit that some of the repeat cases may be due to errors in testing, but there's seemingly no clear answer just yet.
Secondly, you're assuming that kids who go to school and contract the virus won't have an impact on those other than high risk folks at home. I disagree.
Let's just say you have an open school and one kid has the virus. He passes it to other kids. All of those kids pass it along to their parents at home who continue to do stuff as they have day-to-day. Not being symptomatic, they go to work, shop around town, and do whatever it is that they do on any given day.
Before any of the adults become symptomatic, they've already (potentially) spread the virus exponentially.
IMHO, your scenario only works if parents have chosen to lock down and don't go anywhere while their kids are attending school. Let's not even begin to count staff who may not be symptomatic and go about their day-to-day lives after they leave campus.